Recession Probability Update (RPA) // July 2015

Thursday, July 23 2015 | Leave a comment

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to its history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

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503 words.

Estimated reading time: 8 minute(s)

In Investing Seasonality Investor Alert Investor Education Recession Probability RPA

Market Update // How to handle this (painful) sideways market

Wednesday, May 6 2015 | Leave a comment

After 3 strong market years the last 6 months has been downright frustrating for many investors. The S&P 500 has come close to breaking into new all-time highs on 3 occasions the past few months, only to fail each time and retreat. To many, this feels like the end of the bull market, and a…

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244 words.

Estimated reading time: 4 minute(s)

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Tough week for the markets // New trends emerging soon…

Friday, December 12 2014 | Leave a comment

It was a rather tough week for the stock market, with Friday closing with a 315 point drop in the Dow and a 33 point drop in the S&P 500.   The other big news is that the 2 year uptrend in the S&P 500 now appears to be changing. For better or worse, we…

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189 words.

Estimated reading time: 3 minute(s)

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Market Update // October 9, 2014

Thursday, October 9 2014 | Leave a comment

The below video is a follow up to my last post, where I was tracking the 2-year uptrend in the S&P 500. In short, the uptrend is partially broken, so there’s a few things we’ll be watching very closely. All is not lost, however, as there’s still a 50/50 likelihood the market can resume its…

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100 words.

Estimated reading time: 2 minute(s)

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Recession Probability (RPA) Update – February 2014

Sunday, March 16 2014 | Leave a comment

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to its history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

Continue reading…

466 words.

Estimated reading time: 7 minute(s)

In Investor Alert Investor Education Recession Probability RPA | |

The Markets Sure Like What Bernanke’s Cooking! Market Update – 9.18.2013

Wednesday, September 18 2013 | Leave a comment

Today Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke, spoke – and the markets LOVED what he had to say. At least in the short term. Bernanke surprised the market by saying the Fed wouldn’t begin tapering their bond buying. So at least in the short term, the Fed will continue pumping $85 billion per month of funny…

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436 words.

Estimated reading time: 7 minute(s)

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Market Update – September 6, 2013

Friday, September 6 2013 | Leave a comment

The market is still flirting with the 50 day average as I figured it would (see last post for details on this). So far it’s right on the line, so I fully expect it to break out and form a new longer term trend as early as next week. This short video shows what I’m…

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81 words.

Estimated reading time: 2 minute(s)

In Investor Alert Investor Education Market Update |

A Big Market Test is Coming Right up…

Wednesday, September 4 2013 | Leave a comment

The latest correction in financial markets has been pretty mild, all things considered. Soon, the first test on whether or not this was a very short term and modest correction – or the start of a longer and larger decline, will begin. What I’m referring to is the 50 day moving average (the average market…

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207 words.

Estimated reading time: 3 minute(s)

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Market Update – August 27, 2013 – So Really, is the Market Now Correcting?

Tuesday, August 27 2013 | Leave a comment

2013 has so far been without an actual market correction. Sure, there have been a couple very minor 2% to 5% pull backs, but nothing really major. For the most part, US Stocks have been the best game in town and roared to double digit gains without much resistance. However, the past couple weeks there…

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142 words.

Estimated reading time: 3 minute(s)

In Investing Seasonality Investor Alert Investor Education Market Update | |

Is This Finally the Real Market Correction?

Monday, August 19 2013 | Leave a comment

I’ve got some thoughts on where I think the market could be heading over the next few weeks…and it’s not pretty.  I hope I’m wrong, but if not you’ll want to check out today’s market update video to be prepared. Enjoy and just use the comments section if you have any thoughts or questions. Best,…

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54 words.

Estimated reading time: 1 minute(s)

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