Recession Probability (RPA) Update – May 2014

Thursday, May 22 2014 | 2 Comments

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to its history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

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451 words.

Estimated reading time: 7 minute(s)

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Recession Probability Update (RPA) – April 2013

Friday, March 29 2013 | Leave a comment

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to it history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

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499 words.

Estimated reading time: 8 minute(s)

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Recession Probability Update – December 2012

Tuesday, November 27 2012 | Leave a comment

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to it history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

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363 words.

Estimated reading time: 6 minute(s)

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Recession Probability Update – June 2012

Sunday, May 20 2012 | Leave a comment

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to it history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

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366 words.

Estimated reading time: 6 minute(s)

In Investing Seasonality Investor Education Recession Probability RPA | |

Recession Probability Update – April 2012

Wednesday, March 21 2012 | Leave a comment

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to it history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

Continue reading…

297 words.

Estimated reading time: 5 minute(s)

In Investor Education Recession Probability RPA | |

State of the US Economy (RPA)

Tuesday, May 31 2011 | Leave a comment

Folks who’ve followed my work for years know that awhile back I created a mechanical way to measure the actual health of the US Economy on a scale of 1 to 100.  It’s simple, yet sophisticated as a friend (and super smart investment guru), Steve Beaman once said. The basic metrics for this measurement is…

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260 words.

Estimated reading time: 4 minute(s)

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