Recession Probability Update (RPA) – Delayed due to Gov’t Shutdown

Friday, November 1 2013 | Leave a comment

I’ve had a few people ask why my monthly feature on Recession Risk wasn’t online last week.  Short answer – it’s the Governments fault!! Really, it is. See, some of the data used in my recession risk model actually comes from Government data. When the Government shut down happened a couple weeks ago this data…

Continue reading…

80 words.

Estimated reading time: 2 minute(s)

In Recession Probability RPA | |

Recession Probability (RPA) Update – July 2013

Friday, June 28 2013 | 2 Comments

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to its history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

Continue reading…

382 words.

Estimated reading time: 6 minute(s)

In Investor Education Recession Probability RPA |

Recession Probability (RPA) Update – June 2013

Monday, May 20 2013 | Leave a comment

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to it history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

Continue reading…

395 words.

Estimated reading time: 6 minute(s)

In Investor Education Recession Probability RPA |

Recession Probability (RPA) Update – March 2013

Tuesday, March 5 2013 | Leave a comment

Nothing like reporting old news!!!  For some reason this post didn’t get published last month as it was supposed to.  Technology/User error I guess ;).  Either way, here was last months RPA update (along with some old news about the sequester). —– Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math…

Continue reading…

690 words.

Estimated reading time: 11 minute(s)

In Fiscal Cliff Recession Probability RPA |