Recession Probability (RPA) Update – May 2014

Thursday, May 22 2014 | 2 Comments

Each month I calculate the strength of the US economy using a math based model I call RPA (Recession Probability Analytics). When the number rises above 50 it means the US economy is in the bottom 50% of all economic conditions relative to its history. While far from perfect, the model has had an uncanny…

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